Don't miss out on tonight's 9pm big play between Washington and Baylor it should be a very entertaining Pac 12 vs. Big 12 match up as we saw one last night between Texas and Cal this one will be much higher scoring version on the turf in San Antonio and we are guaranteeing it or 1 day is FREE backed by a full in depth analysis and NCAAB plays.


I think these under dogs are going to start to roar and this is fitting Steve Sarkisian won last year as double digit dogs against a good Nebraska team with a mobile QB and now he finds himself as +10 dogs at some places and I’m not buying that Baylor is this good. Many are looking at what they did vs. Texas, but Texas helped them a lot turning the ball over 6 times and we all know how bad Texas offense has been. Washington can actually move the ball on the ground and through the air. Keith Price broke a school record with 29 TD’s this year and Chris Polk is a dangerous powerful back that ran for 176 yards a year ago vs. Nebraska. Of course they go to Texas to face the Heisman Trophy winner and most efficient QB ever as he broke a season record. But as we know Baylor’s defense is awful ranked 112th in pass defense and 102nd run defense 114th in total yards and 109th in scoring.

This does not set things up well for them in this game I think Washington should be able to move the ball. In Baylor’s 3 losses this year they gave up 268 yards on average both to Oklahoma A&M and Kansas State and Washington can get that kind of production after all Polk did it in last year’s bowl game to a much better Nebraska defense. Also note the point totals Washington put up against teams with poor defenses as they faced 5 opponents with 87th or worse ranked pass defenses and average 38.6, and none of those teams had run defenses as bad as Baylor. So I expect Washington to be able to score around the 40 margin and that won’t be enough to cover this spread especially since Washington is +22 on the season only losing 20 turnovers. Their defense is also very bad, but their schedule was more challenging and they closed the season on a high note against Washington State their rival. More importantly is the red zone and third downs:

Both teams are nearly equal on offense converting 44.9% of their third downs. Defensively too both are at 49% but I worry about Baylor they are 55% on the road and Wash is 47% while they finished against Texas poor offense giving up 64% on third down 14-22. Like I said I think they lose to Texas without being +5 in turnover margin and then we are sitting here talking about Baylor 8-4 and being favored by a FG. In the Red Zone Washington is much more efficient getting 80% touchdowns when they get down their while Baylor is at just 62%. Though they get their more they are also allowing opponents into the red zone 60 times that’s 2 more times than Baylor has gotten their themselves. Washington allowing 64% TD on red zone while Baylor is at 68.33% I think this is where Chris Polk will dominate the game.


Western Kencuky -125 (4.5* NCAAB POD)
usc +10.5 3.3* play
Fresno -2.5 3.3* play

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